|
Keynote
Address
Asia Society AustralAsia Centre
Asia Foreign Policy Update Luncheon
The Hon. Fidel Valdez Ramos
Former President, Republic of the Philippines
Sydney, September 3, 2003
Eight years ago, the Philippines acceded to the world trade
organization ( WTO). By that landmark act, we embraced the
trade-related aspects of globalization. today, with the benefit
of hindsight, i ask myself -- knowing what i know now -- would
i have taken the Philippines to join the WTO just the same?
My answer is -- yes -- definitely yes -- but now we must think
back and determine what are globalization's hidden and, possibly,
damaging dimensions in order that the world community can
more responsibly respond to them in order to win a better
future.
Politicians, economists, and security experts have dissected,
debated and elaborated upon the nature, applications and effects
of globalization. but regardless of their respective opinions
and ideological inclinations, it appears that they agree on
one thing: that in the context of the realities and relationships
of the 21st century, globalization is extremely complex even
as almost everyone accepted from the beginning the simple
definition that globalization as being merely the elimination
of barriers to free trade and the removal of restrictions
to the movement of capital in order to promote deeper integration
of national economies into the global system.
By that simpler definition, globalization could only pose
benefits, not perils, for all. However, as practiced, globalization
is far from being universally fair and beneficial. The key
question, however, is: are these gains now enjoyed by a great
number of suffering people in the world, or by only an elitist,
uncaring minority?
Under a regime of increasingly open and liberal trade, the
Philippines posted faster growth in terms of exports, averaging
a 19.5% increase annually during the period 1994-1997 -- one
of the fastest in our region despite the financial crisis
of 1997-1998. Through its tariff reduction program, the country
kept pace with the target to limit to zero to 5 percent tariffs
for most of its tradable goods. Already, more than 85% of
the country's total tariff lines are within this target range.
The Philippines adopted necessary safety nets for vulnerable
sectors and measures to enhance its global competitiveness,
increase and sustain agriculture productivity, improve infrastructure
for speedy movement of goods and services, foster pollution
management and sustainable development of natural resources,
and accelerate science and technology efforts to support our
programs towards globalization. All these, the Philippines
did in the name of globalization and international competitiveness.
Poverty: the increasing gap
Although successive Philippine administrations, including
mine, helped reduce poverty incidence from the high mark of
1985 at 41+% to 30% by 1998, the numbers today are still troubling.
While the Philippine economy was considered the best performing
in southeast Asia in 2002 -- except for Vietnam -- and the
third best performing in all of east Asia, the country still
has more than 5 million people out of work.
These figures notwithstanding, the Philippines' economic
fundamentals remain sound, and the country enjoys predictable
growth to ensure steady prices, low inflation, adequate liquidity,
and funding for development initiatives. The Philippines is
committed to good governance and to long-term structural reforms
leading to continued strength in domestic demand, diversification
of trade, and a hospitable environment for investment.
The poverty situation in the Philippines may be seen as a
microcosm of what is happening among the developing and the
least developed countries around the world. Statistics show
that in the last 10 years of the 20th century, the actual
number of people living in poverty increased by at least several
hundred millions at the same time that total world income
actually increased by an average of 2.5 percent annually.
In stark terms, therefore, the poor have become poorer and
the rich have become richer. A famous comparison recently
made is that the western European nations continue to subsidize
their cows at us$2.50 per head -- which is more than 2.5 times
what 1.2 billion people live on at less than one u.s. dollar
a day. Figures released by the UNDP in its human development
report ( HDR) in 2002 draw a similar picture of increasing
poverty for a vast number of people in the face of economic
growth for a few.
The plain truth is that a great majority of humankind is
being deprived of their rights to human security, bereft of
the benefits of education, primary health services, decent
housing, basic education, and gainful livelihood• poverty
is inextricably bound together with the other key issues of
the environment, peace and development, and globalization.
In the competition for greater material wealth, most people
have accepted some dictums without question, not realizing
that what is medicine for one may be poison for another. To
an unprepared society, a liberalized policy may lead to a
long-term net loss not only in incomes, but also in social
costs. Liberalization has been a bitter pill backward countries
had to swallow -- only to discover, with tragic effects, that
is not the cure they were looking for. "Have-not"
countries continue to be faced with problems in the implementation
of their obligations under the WTO agreement.
Because of liberalization in the industrial, services and
agricultural sectors, many developing countries face dislocation
of local industries, products and services as these are generally
small- or medium-sized and, therefore, are unable to compete
with larger multinationals or foreign companies that are able
to market cheaper imports due to economies of scale.
Developed countries and the special interests within them
have campaigned for the globalization agenda over the years.
They have pushed for open markets for their industrial goods
in poor countries but have, just the same, maintained their
own protectionist systems, especially on agricultural products•
from the point of view of the have-nots, the current levels
of protectionism in developed countries are scandalous.
For instance, OECD member-countries reportedly spend over
us$350 billion every year to protect their agriculture sectors
-- or almost us$ one billion each day -- far more than the
total us$50 billion devoted to development assistance to poor
countries. In their mistaken belief that "one-size fits
all" and their unrelenting focus on economic growth and
financial stability, multilateral institutions and donor countries
have imposed conditionality that are beyond the capability
of poor countries to handle.
On the other hand, in their desire to accelerate domestic
sufficiency and economic growth, many developing countries
have embraced liberalization -- unsuspecting of its pitfalls
and certain rules of the game definitely not to their favor.
Their insufficient institutional capacities have been compounded
by abusive or incompetent governance, a sheer lack of resources,
or a combination of all these.
Human security and international terrorism
The inequity and the unfairness of it all have led to civil
wars, insurgency, ethnic cleansing, violent crimes, strong-man
regimes, international terrorism -- a virtual explosion of
threats to human security -- whose dimensions may have been
neglected or overlooked in the quest for globalization, and
whose inescapable result is increasing poverty.
At the beginning of the 20th century, people seemed to believe
that the growth of economic interdependence, technological
progress and social connectivity would bring about future
decades of peace and security. Tragically, the 20th century
turned out to be one of the bloodiest centuries in human experience.
UNDP's human development report for 1993 (hdr-1993) states
that "human security reflects a condition that recognizes
the centrality of basic human rights, human capabilities,
human development and their links to world peace and stability."
Human security means protecting people from critical and pervasive
threats and situations. It involves creating political, social,
environmental, economic, cultural and public safety systems
that together give people the building blocks for survival,
livelihood and dignity in their hopes for a better quality
of life.
The twin goals of " peace and development" probably
describe best mankind's immediate as well as long-term aspirations.
On the other hand, a new dimension of development -- which
is human security -- has emerged, as advocated by Sadako Ogata,
former UN High Commissioner for Refugees, and Amartya Sen,
Nobel Prize awardee for development economics.
According to them, human security is concerned with safeguarding
and expanding people's vital freedoms. It partakes both of
protecting people from critical and pervasive threats and
of empowering people to take charge of their own lives. Protection
refers to the norms, policies and institutions essential to
shield people and requires governments to exercise "top-down"
vigilance, especially in insuring the rule of law, democratic
governance and public safety.
The "democratization of technology" is equipping
the terrorist with a frighteningly sophisticated and powerful
array of skills and weapons unimaginable a decade ago. The
"democratization of technology" has been diffusing
power away from governments, and enabling fanatic individuals
and conspirational groups to play powerful roles in world
politics -- including that of inflicting massive destruction
-- a capability once reserved to government and their armed
forces.
To globalization and other forces transforming national societies,
we must now add the power of terrorism. Terrorism has privatized
even war -- as we can see from Osama bin Laden's jihad against
the whole of western Christendom. It no longer takes another
super-power to pose a grave threat even to the American giant.
The specter of asymmetric warfare, of which terrorism is its
most visible aspect, will be with us for the next several
years.
We Filipinos have long been acquainted with terrorism. Our
citizenry, in fact, have been among its first victims in the
post-cold war era. Islamist extremists have struck in many
places in Mindanao and other parts of the Philippines. Local
insurgents and separatists apparently have linked up with
an extremist movement active in all the Muslim communities
of southeast Asia -- which has a grandiose program to unite
parts of Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines into one
Islamic state. Islamic terrorists regard themselves as fighting
to establish a global community of believers that -- as in
the days of Arab glory, more than a thousand years ago --
would be governed by the Koran and ruled by a "successor"
to the prophet Mohammed, or caliph, who would possess both
temporal and spiritual powers. But this myth of a return to
Islamic purity is as propagandistic and as illusory as Hitler’s
dream of a thousand-year Reich or Stalin’s vision of
a classless society.
Islamic fundamentalism, however, may finally exhaust itself,
since it lacks the intellectual resources capable of giving
the Muslim peoples the civilizational vigor they need to compete
on equal terms with the modern and secular west. To avert
the "clash of civilizations" that some thinkers
see as impending, world leaders are promoting a "dialogue
of civilizations" being encouraged by the united nations
and promoted by the ecumenism of Pope John Paul II.
Obviously, a "dialogue of civilizations" will be
drawn-out and complicated. But i think it is tremendously
important as a parallel mechanism to conventional diplomacy
at a time when religious, cultural, and civilizational affiliations
have all became potential and even active sources of global
tension and conflict.
Globalization and culture
The globalization of culture is also fanning the flames of
discontent and anti-American resentment across the world.
Globalization is associated with the spread of the less savory
aspects of western pop culture -- commercialism, consumerism,
hedonism -- a catalog of isms and drug abuse are perceived
in many quarters of the developing world as an assault on
their traditional customs and values, particularly among Muslim
communities, including in the Philippines.
There are deep cultural reasons for anti-American sentiments
that are rising in some parts of the globe. Obviously, for
much of the third world, America has come to personify all
the western powers that created empires during the period
of colonization -- whose influence on their developing societies
has been so strong and so disruptive over these last 500 years.
Anti-Americanism is also being driven by the fear that the
world is being "Americanized." cultural globalization
has hit some poor countries harder than economic globalization
has done. In such countries, American customs and values --
which are the dominant strains in the intrusive internationalist
culture -- are fast spreading, especially among young people,
through the mass media and the internet.
Traditionalist peoples see these alien values and customs
as threatening the conservative culture and lifestyles they
want to preserve, and this perception is stimulating a reactive
kind of anti-foreignism, which is awakening a religious revival
throughout the Muslim world. In other places -- as china and
India -- anti-Americanism stimulates rising middle-class nationalism.
And -- let's face it -- anti-Americanism is also being facilitated
by what the New Yorker magazine calls a "national appetite
for global swaggering." cultural fears raised by McDonald’s
ubiquitous outlets, pop music and CNN dominating the air waves,
plus recycled Hollywood movies -- which are the global icons
advertising America’s presence -- do exaggerate America’s
global influence. Indeed, the unrelenting dominance of the
western media and commercialism has widened, instead of reduced,
the gaps between the rich and the poor.
Let me now say a few words about other needed reforms in
the free market system.
As a founding member of the policy advisory commission of
the world intellectual property organization ( WIPO-PAC),
i have strongly advocated that the rich and developed nations
help reduce and eventually neutralize global terrorism by
sharing their intellectual property consisting of inventions,
innovations, creations and research and development ( R&D)
products with the poor countries whose backward conditions
provide the breeding grounds for extremism, fanaticism, criminal
violence, and suicidal behavior.
At the third meeting of the WIPO-PAC in Geneva last October
11, 2001, i reiterated the importance of caring, sharing and
daring among nations in pushing forward the frontiers of universal
peace and development. Caring and sharing are probably easy
enough to do -- but daring to forego profits and royalties,
daring to give more to the environment than take from it,
and daring to sacrifice for the common good may be more difficult
to do.
For instance, those discoveries and technologies which would
be beneficial to the improvement of health, prolongation of
life, facilitation of education, enhancement of the environment,
and reduction of poverty should be transferred expeditiously
and affordably to the "have-not" peoples -- even
as WIPO recognizes the need to protect and reward the innovations
and inventions of creative people and institutions (which
largely come from the affluent countries).
In my view, bridging the deepening gaps in family income,
health, security, environmental conditions, social mobility,
job opportunities, and material comforts among people around
the world would significantly remove the root causes of insurgency,
separatism, civil war, and armed conflict, to include the
hopelessness that breeds suicide-bombers.
Summing up
Notwithstanding the hard lessons of the recent past, i believe
the course most countries, including the Philippines, have
taken in joining the WTO was the right one. Globalization
is here to stay, but there is much we can do to manage and
refashion it into something that better serves humanity. The
interplay of the actors in globalization must be orchestrated
so that all will aim not only for economic growth and financial
stability but also for people empowerment in terms of equal
access to opportunity, social justice and human security in
its widest sense.
Governments must face up to their responsibility to function
with transparency and efficiency, and strive for governance
that combines economic development, environmental protection
and human security. Developing countries must reassess their
liberalization policies and endeavor to strike a balance among
the roles of the state and the market, and the needs of the
poor. Mainstreaming trade into the wider development agenda
of reducing poverty should be a central consideration.
In this regard, the Doha round can truly become a "development
round" if there is greater coherence and convergence
of policies among international economic institutions -- such
as the WTO, World Bank, IMF, and the WIPO -- so that trade
is mainstreamed in the development agenda and, therefore,
capacity-building can be focused, targeted and achieved. It
is also essential to review special and differential treatment
being espoused by the affluent nations beyond just the time-phasing
of commitments• capacity-building and sufficient flexibility
to pursue domestic development goals are equally essential.
Today, the challenge before our countries is for them to
grasp the opportunities globalization presents -- while working
together to minimize our shared vulnerabilities to its risks.
Ultimately, the countries best able to take full advantage
of globalization will be those that cultivate open societies,
free economies and democratic governance.
In the world of the future, every state will need increasingly
to work within the framework of a global market, to attain
the kinder world to which mankind aspires. To that end, the
response mechanisms of the free market will probably be better-suited
than the formally legalistic and treaty-bound decisions of
governments.
Functionally distinct components of each nation-state should
link up more and more with their foreign counterparts -- forming
a dense web of sectoral networks that will eventually make
up a veritable trans-governmental order. Likewise, the GO-NGO
partnership between government agencies and non-government
organizations and civil society would most likely deepen and
broaden for the overall equitable distribution of benefits.
In the Asia-pacific region, globalization opens up tremendous
possibilities for genuine integration and political/security
cooperation -- as the forces of modernization compel even
once-isolated states (like China, North Korea, Vietnam, Myanmar
and Laos) to conform more closely to international norms and
practices in civil liberties and human rights.
Like the open market alongside it, true democracy could become
the most compelling quality of the new age -- as powerless
people claim their right to take their place in the more bountiful
table of the new global society. The empowerment of ordinary
people should, therefore, be our highest priority and common
vision. The structural reforms that states must undertake
-- to keep their economies competitive and reduce poverty
-- will unavoidably result in more effective democratic institutions.
Indeed, it is our unity as a community of nations that cares,
shares and dares for each other that would bring us within
easier reach of mankind's noblest goals. Civil society --
the family, the community, the NGOs, the media, the churches,
etc. -- have vital roles in assisting the state in its task
to improve the conditions of each citizen and society itself.
In sum, the international community must redouble its efforts
to reshape the dimensions of globalization in order to make
them more equitable and beneficial for all. They must be reconfigured
towards a bias not only for reducing poverty but also for
the enhancement of human security. Further inaction, indifference
and/or complacency are not an option. Otherwise, it may indeed
be too late for humanity.
Thank and mabuhay -- best wishes!!!
|